Using a real-time recession detection algorithm trained on a century of broader labour market data, Michaillat — who is also a research associate at the NBER — estimates a 71 per cent probability that ...

The dismal August jobs report on Friday did nothing to convince Mark Zandi that the US is safe from recession.

In a research note published Aug. 25, Barclays economists shared their view that the U.S. economy has likely entered a “stall state.” The bank's “tipping points” model now places odds of a recession ...

I n a research note published Aug. 25, Barclays economists shared their view that the U.S. economy has likely entered a ...

In an interview with Newsweek, Mark Zandi outlined the risks to the U.S. economy and how it could skirt—or slip into—a ...

If the American economy is a three-legged stool, one of those legs is broken, the other is wobbly and the final one is holding it all up (for now). That’s how Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s ...

According to Mark Zandi of Moody's Analytics, nearly a third of the US economy is experiencing recessionary conditions, with ...

Hiring slowed sharply over the summer, federal government data showed. The jobs report came days after fresh gross domestic ...

Economists say a recession is an unlikely in the second half of 2025, but not out of the question if President Donald Trump's tariffs hit harder than expected or war engulfs the Middle East.

U.S. economy may be closer to recession than Washington admits. Fresh state-level data shows key regions like California and ...

Stagflation fears are back after a week of dismal jobs data and hot inflation indicators.

After years of plentiful employment opportunities, healthy pay bumps and pandemic savings-fueled spending sprees, American ...